Iraq - News

Update November 2003

Tony Blair wants us to move on from discussing the reasons why Britain went to war and the motives and intelligence behind those reasons. But I believe it is important to know whether we can trust the accuracy of intelligence we are told about threats to Britain. I also believe it is important to know whether we can trust Tony Blair to give us a fair and balanced report of this intelligence. From the evidence given to the Hutton Inquiry, I fear that we cannot.

The Iraq Survey Group has now given its interim reports, having spent months searching for weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in Iraq. In the infamous September dossier, Tony Blair claimed that Iraq could use WMD within 45 minutes of an order to do so. But the Iraq Survey Group found NO WMD, and all that had been uncovered was one vial of 10 years old botulinum toxin kept at an Iraqi scientist’s home. The principle justification for the war is a lie. More details from this news report.

A new report from medical charity Medact says that Iraqis will suffer the health consequences of the second Gulf war "for years, maybe generations", warns that there is "information black hole" on what is truly happening in the country, and says that to 9,565 civilians might have been killed between the start of the war in March and October 20, and more are at risk as already weakened public services collapse. There is an article about the report here, and the full report is here.

A new leaked CIA report is warning that the guerrilla war against coalition forces is in danger of escalating out of US control and admits that the insurgency is gaining ground among the population, and already numbers up to 50,000. Analysts cautioned that such a figure was speculative, but it does indicate a deep-rooted revolt on a far greater scale than the Pentagon had led the administration to believe. More details from this news report.

Recent reports that Iraqi intelligence made a number of peace offers to the US before the war, which were dismissed by the US. George Monbiot has a good article here, saying that these reports show that Bush & Blair lied to us when they claimed they were doing everything possible to find a peaceful solution.

The Hutton Inquiry


I see that the phrase “sex up” has made it into an Oxford mini-dictionary of words and phrases. The book defines it as “to enhance something to give it greater appeal or impact”.

With this definition I don’t understand how the government and its supporters can claim that the Iraq dossier was not “sexed up”. My MP claims this, and points out that the intelligence and security committee report published in September stated that “the [Iraq dossier of September 2002] was not ‘sexed up’ by Alastair Campbell or anyone else”.

Yet in the same report the intelligence committee also notes that the threat from Saddam Hussein was distorted in the dossier, by making claims out of context, by stating as fact matters which were uncertain (eg production of chemical weapons), and in particular not stating that the claim that weapons of mass destruction (WMD) could be used with 45 minutes of an order was not certain and applied only to battlefield weapons and not, as the reader was left to assume, to missiles which could be used to attack another country. A sentence in the draft dossier that Saddam did not pose a threat to the UK was dropped from the final version.

The Hutton Inquiry has also given us unique view of evidence and material which would normally remain secret for many years (an indictment of a government which supported freedom of information until it came into power in 1997). There are many emails, copies of minutes, notes etc. which we would never have seen had it not been for the Hutton Inquiry. The Hutton Inquiry has heard:

- Dr Kelly described as the UK’s expert on weapons of mass destruction. He had already told the foreign affairs select committee that he thought there was a only a 30% chance that Iraq had WMD, and that the 45 minute claim was “extremely unlikely”.
- Dr. Brian Jones, deeply involved in production of the dossier, say that the government over-egged the threat posed by Saddam Hussein.
- “Mr A” say there were serious problems with the dossier, including the 45 minute claim.
- The head of MI6 say that the 45 minute claim was “misinterpreted” in the dossier in that it was not made clear that this only applied to battlefield weapons

In the Guardian (24 September) Jonathan Friedland writes:
“[Alastair] Campbell's 15-point memo to [Joint Intelligence Committee Chair John] Scarlett, attached to a list of comments from Blair himself, with its suggested rewrites to the September dossier is proof that No 10's political advisers were leaning on the spooks to harden up the JIC assessment. Constantly, Campbell is asking for ‘weak’ statements to be replaced by ‘stronger’ ones, for ‘may’ and ‘might’ to become ‘are’ and ‘will’. Even when he calls for some language to be cooled down, it is only for stylistic effect, knowing that a sober intelligence report will always have greater power than florid rhetoric. What was this but political pressure to beef up the dossier?”.

Richard Norton Taylor also writes in the Guardian (October 1st):
“Under Scarlett's control, drafters of the dossier put things in at Downing Street's suggestion. They also took things out – most strikingly when Jonathan Powell, Blair's chief of staff, saw the final version of the much-redrafted dossier, and sent Campbell an urgent email. ‘What will be the headline in the Standard on the day of publication? What do we want it to be?’ he asked, referring to London's evening newspaper. He said the dossier's comment that Saddam would use chemical or biological weapons only if he believed his regime was under threat posed ‘a bit of a problem’. The passage should be redrafted, said Powell. All reference to Saddam's defensive use of such weapons was taken out, leaving the impression that Britain was 45 minutes from an attack.”

It seems clear from all this evidence that the September dossier was not a balanced assesment of the threat posed by Saddam Hussein, but that, in the dossier, that threat was ‘enhanced to give it greater appeal or impact’ – ie it was “sexed up”!

Mark Ramsey


Media Reports and Analysis


Update June 2003

‘Government by Criminals’ article

Update end April 2003


Update March/April 2003


Update December 2002

Update October 2002



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